CHINA / USA TRADE WAR

The Necessary Path of Pain Leading to the Golden Age

Introduction

As I write this, as of Sunday, April 13th, 2025, I know at the very least I wanted to get this out, as this has been a talking point for weeks on the certain events and how they are and will unfold. So let this be for the record.

Currently,

The US is on a path to bring back manufacturing and ultimately redirect the global order of commerce and bring back the supply chain on the home front. Which is admirable and past due. Whereas China has for many decades built up an infrastructure economy built on manufacturing and supplying the world's consuming economies with products. All of which were decisions that have all led us here. None wrong, none right, but nonetheless decisions.

Trump,

As those who want to make a pathway of progress see the gap, unfortunately there is no easy way to kill a bad deal for our future but to put it down like an old yeller in a back barn. Whereas, the result will be the same: The dog will die, and the relationship with the USA/CHINA will die. In order to redirect the USA economy in a short-term cataclysmic event, ultimately repositioning North America, Central America, and South America into a single unit. To counter any offsets, the future will unwind in these upcoming months ahead.

China,

Has in a way, strong cards, and one would imagine Trump is aware of this. Which makes it strengthen the case that this is exactly what a tactician would create as a Playbook to execute with surgical precision. Such as: The goal is not to make a deal, but to kill a deal. Which will result in a strong enough reason to create a vastly larger deal of all deals.

USA,

Is in a unique position; We have before us the entire North American Continent as far as the Darien Gap. If positioned correctly, it will become the USA. Then proceed to Conquest South America as a united Continent. This is not a form of warfare, but an economic one.

Therefore, if you can imagine, upon the China/USA escalation. Which will only increase. For example:

China is a culture of proud people and is uniquely positioned as a different foundation, government-wise and economically.

The following are the following Stages:

Stage 1: Set the Stage

USA Place a global tariff on all global countries, with large tariffs to spark a shock response. Most countries will buckle and submit, many will oppose, and the stronger ones will simply ignore us.

This provides a landscape of who you are fighting. If you ever want to learn from your opponent, shock them. And then watch them. You will learn everything you need on how you will proceed.

Stage 2: Collect intel

Here is where you collect the intel you need to measure the animosity your opponents reflect or present. From here you can escalate and then seek further antagonizing tariffs and/or tariff other countries that engage with your adversaries to spark even more retaliation.

The goal is to get a response. Anything... Will do; even nothing is a response.

Stage 3: Respond

Here is where adversaries will make a move, because the game must go on. And one must make a move eventually, because a stalemate does not exist at this stage in the game.

Henceforth, here is where you allow the opponent to make their move. Which CHINA, will then proceed to do this as it stands as of today.

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1. China will eventually begin to ban some economic resources from leaving China that will eventually enter the USA.

This is a slight move, nothing great, but noticeable.

2. China will then proceed to tariff USA company exports on products made in China. Ranging from 100% to 500%

This is a larger move, and upon this announcement, it will send a shockwave to the marketplace, as this has larger repercussions, mainly because there is nothing the USA can do to alter export tariffs from China. Which then the vastly exposed Pharmaceuticals, Manufacturing, Chips etc are all overexposed to this.

3. China bans all USA companies from China and proceeds to tell all usa companies to pack up and leave.

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This is where things get ugly. The USA market will cataclysmically collapse, Mainly because we don't have the infrastructure support to counter this response. For example, the Apple supply chain could not pivot fast enough. For example, here are just 10 companies that are really just the most exposed in China already: Apple, Boeing, Intel, Caterpillar, Tesla, Qualcomm, Starbucks, Nike, General Motors, and Wynn resorts to name a few.

For example, any severe tariffs or an outright ban from China would disrupt these companies. Supply chain revenues and strategic plans Apple for example, depends heavily on Chinese manufacturing ecosystems; shifting production elsewhere would take years. Boeing relies on Chinese aircraft orders. Intel and Qualcomm thrive on Chinese chip demand. Starbucks, Nike, and GM rely on China's vast consumer base, threatening growth in jobs. Such a move would hit investor confidence hard, dealing a significant blow to the US economy.

Stage 4: The Fall

One has to consider the altitude in which we are in currently; it does not matter if we had a hundred quintillion dollars to build the entire infrastructure that China has in the United States; they're still in a time period of design placement. For example: where are you going to place these things and then navigating the assembling through the bureaucratic order which in the United States doesn't have the luxury of being as surgically precise as China because they can just get stuff done quickly without the bureaucratic nonsense and then ultimately you have to build it which then requires talent and the talent in the United States by and large the vast majority of the United States has lesser than a sixth grade reading comprehension level on average we also have a talent lack to build those types of factory infrastructure in a short period of time we would have to redraft what we consider valuable in our economy and our culture so then you're transforming how the culture views itself pivoting away from a consumer consumption economy to a production economy. Which again is not right or wrong; it's just the facts of reality. Now what this opens up as the opportunity zone is this enables the United States to execute on these opportunities because, one, the United States needs to break away from the relationship, mainly to them, and go through the short-term pain, which is really 10 years of pain, to become more fortified in its own infrastructure, which it should have been doing a long time ago, but this will give it a reason to, which is good for momentum. it's good for having an adversary, giving something for people to unite against and for and bringing people together. Those are all great things for movement and energy needs friction in order to bond together in some form of pressure to ignite in a Direction their civilization has been built on these types of opportunities and Trump is ultimately crafting them willingly or unknowingly; it's still the same result.

Therefore, what most likely is the outcome is when China bans US companies, the market will plummet, and from that, you'll see a unifying opportunity for the United States to acquire Canada, acquire Greenland, acquire Mexico, and acquire Central America all the way down to the Darien Gap, which this Opportunity Zone enables North America to unite, and from that, United Factor really has a lot to sustain itself. Then we have more room and real estate to play some of these infrastructure supply chain opportunities in some of these newly acquired lands, such as Canada, Greenland, Mexico, and areas along the Central American territory, by uniting the North American continent together — and don't get it twisted, there's a reason why the military is located in the Panama Canal right now.

Therefore, what you'll start to see in the coming times—maybe it's in the next few months, maybe it's this year and the next few years—only fate knows the timing of things, but the reality is the same: the result equals that China will ignore the United States altogether through the ignoring of the United States. China will then begin to emulate some of the practices that the United States is doing on China, which is tariffing other countries; for example, how we were tariffing other countries that were selling goods to Venezuela—in short, enforcing other countries to cease economic relationships with Venezuela in order to provide an agreement field with the United States. Because if those countries don't want to be tariffed by the USA for supplying Venezuela with goods, the same will apply with China and some of the neighboring countries—which is, you'll see China first ignore the United States, and, depending on how big the pressure gets, they may engage in similar responses to some of the neighboring countries, which is how they will ignore you as well if you don't partner with us now—which does certain things that have outcomes that I'm not going to articulate in this short thesis. I wouldn't even call this a thesis; I would really just call this a synopsis of reality.

So as this progresses, one of the next steps that China will do as the pressure builds is that, at some point, the invasion between China and Taiwan will occur. During that process, it's not going to be a naval invasion or an Air Force invasion; rather, it will be a drone invasion, and the drone invasion will be a swarm event where, for example, whenever the time's right, China will look to deploy—let's say—a fleet of a million drones with another fleet of another million. They'll most likely cycle in migration patterns, like you sent them in fleets, and when these fleets are navigating (because you can navigate these fleets by essentially hovering them over the water and just moving from China's homeland to Taiwan), they will swarm that nation so overwhelmingly that you really can just cease all operations in Taiwan without having to risk human life from China's perspective—like trying to breach the beach in Taiwan during a naval invasion. But if you can invade Taiwan with an overwhelming swarm of drones migrating fleets back and forth, where everything just becomes kind of an all-stop on all infrastructure, then you can do a later naval invasion after the infrastructure around those areas has already been swarmed and destroyed. Then it makes the naval invasion much easier. That's something that is reality from a military tactician's perspective, which will likely unfold, but that will unfold during the best weather season for this to occur, and then also the best likelihood for China to be on top during a high-friction event—meaning it won't be calm when they make this decision; it'll already be during a heightened pressure event that will then lead to this opportunity to emerge, which will further create more friction geopolitically. But by this time, the United States will already be in a downward spiral from being ignored by China, then US companies being banned from China, and then supply chains being completely disrupted—backlogs between Apple products, all those things start to emerge, which then leads to this other opportunity and how I see the unfolding of this for the United States.

Stage 5: The Restructuring

Being that the United States is democratically run through a bureaucratic modge podge of a challenging infrastructure to support fluid progress during uncertainty, so this is how I see it: the United States needs a reason to become a despot government system very similar to how China's ran, because China is very fluid in their decision making—meaning the decision can get started from the top and then pierce all the way down to the bottom and get to the root of the matter quickly. Also, the United States is ultimately run by really just a series of multiple corporations that really have no allies but profit, which is very counter-productive to a country and the identity of a culture, whereas in China their government owns all those corporations and has subsidies for all those things—something that the United States has to have in the future in order to compete. And that's why we will never be able to beat China at our own game but have to become them in order to compete against them. The free market—a dystopian private free market—is a disaster when you look at the components; if you're trying to rule the world in the way the United States has, you won't be able to maintain that structure when your adversary is more fluid and larger and you are slower, more out-of-date, and your processes from bureaucratic democratic procedures are a hindrance to your competition. Basically, the United States needs an adversary like China to break the United States economy; that way, you can put the blame on China for doing what they did, which is ignoring us, and that then destroys our economy. Now, with our economy being destroyed—which is totally a reality if they ignore us—that gives us the opportunity to allow the government to step in on all the private corporations that go bankrupt, because they will all go bankrupt (very few will make it out alive; most will go bankrupt, if not 90% or more), and then the government will own them and subsidize the offset, fast-tracking everything in a way that would blow circles around your conception of how fast things will move.

At some point it won't be that immediate; the beginning will be so devastating because it'll be like a sharp knife to the back of the spine. Boom—the shock, then reality sets in: an economic downturn with astronomically hardcore, disruptive markets; investors are fleeing, the circuit breaker will be occurring often, and the markets circuit breakers are tripping every day because everything will be discombobulated. It won't be a real stable pattern until the government steps in and just acquires the market.

Now, during this downturn, one thing to mention is that the United States is built on 50 different micro-countries—each state is really its own country; it has its own Constitution. Now, being that they all have their own individual Constitution, you have to look at the architecture of how the United States is currently operating and then, through this friction, what this creates. So during the friction, those 50 micro-countries—which are each individual states—are all under massive stress and duress, meaning the federal government will have to come in and step in and save the states because none of these states will be able to, by and large, maintain their own support. They'll need federal support to help save the state right from going bankrupt, because the federal government will be bankrupt already and the American people will be bankrupt.

Now, during the bankruptcy phase—which is an accelerating effect—what you'll have is the Opportunity Zone, and this is where the restructuring of the government will unfold during the restructuring of the government.

You're going to have an obvious Eureka moment, meaning it will become apparent that the Democratic process will be so far irrelevant to our situation that the very people who embrace Democratic principles will be screaming to tear it down. What they'll want is a despotic supreme leader to come in, transform everything from a central perspective, and enable us to lead from an essential point of focus—because you'll see that Democratic principles break under stress. They only work during peacetime when everything's juicy, in harmony, with honey, fruits, and abundance overflowing, but Democratic principles and procedures break under pressure. So when the government gets under stress (as we will during wartime—it won't be a war between us and China per se, but such an economic pinch that military procedures must be applied in North America to save the continent and its people), it will force the reordering of things and lead to redesigning and redressing how the government operates in wartime. This scenario is like a mass emergency, which is awesome because it means we can do away with the whole check-and-balance system and move directly into trimming the fat with a giant knife, cutting out all the inefficient procedures. You go directly to the source with a “this is what we need to do—Bill’s is past and done,” and all of this happens within 24- to 48-hour sessions, assembling a mass army of construction workers because most people are going to need a job. If they're not working, it won't make sense to exist—since the economy will be crushed—and the government will provide jobs for the reinvigoration of the supply chain and everything else that needs to be done in a very short period of time. Then you'll see the restructuring of North American culture, as our identity as the United States—culturally speaking—will be broken. In the breaking of our culture lies the opportunity to redress and mold together a new culture, a metamorphosis event that will take place over the course of 10 years. What comes after that is actually a really beautiful thing. It's unfortunate that Trump will be kind of like the guy blamed for certain things and China for others, but in reality the economic order of the geopolitical landscape makes this inevitability of change unavoidable. It didn’t really matter who was in charge—what was meant to happen for the global order was ultimately inevitable.

Mainly because each continent needs to have a single point of decision-making; for example, the United States will become North America. North America will be the central decision maker for all things on the continent. If South America can assemble such a system, it will do so as well. If it can’t, then North America will ultimately be the decision maker for both North and South America, becoming one giant unit—though that possibility exists only if South America can't unite under a central umbrella. It’s easier for North America to do this because we're kind of better positioned.

Europe will ultimately need a central point of decision-making as well. We kind of had that with the European Union, which ultimately fell apart because of weak leaders creating a terrible feeder program that channeled more weak leaders through the leadership platform—ultimately leading to where Europe is today. Some may call it nonsense or note good intelligence of history, but Adolf Hitler had a vision for that, even though he was never able to execute it, as seen in some of his earlier writings in Mein Kampf and his detailed foreign policy books. He envisioned Europe as a central point, needing a strong leader to be the focal point for the continent’s unification—and you know, the cards fell as they did. Now, my analysis sees the current European Union as way too weak to generate that on its own, and it will not. The only strong central point that exists on the European continent is Russia. Russia at least has a decision-making center that isn’t riddled with the factions that plague other cultures, which leads me to believe—tactically speaking—that Russia will become the central decision-making point for Europe, and China will serve as the central decision point for Asia. China will at least have the ability to navigate, even though there will be outlier countries that may not participate. That doesn’t change the fact that these continents will have a Central Command Post able to execute decisions without friction. They will win in the end, because competitors—whether from smaller or larger countries with internal factionalism—will eventually eat themselves alive, deteriorating their cultures from the inside out, while the centralized giants become stronger and more fortified. As the geopolitical landscape evolves, especially with the changing nature of supply chains, these Central Command Nations will accelerate in superiority, while others will eventually dissolve around them, creating a giant merger or acquisition opportunity later down the road—only to be consumed by these nations, forming a kind of continental government system.

Africa, unfortunately, has so many layers of internal factions that it lacks the capacity, infrastructure, or culture to generate an essential command post internally. This leads me to believe that Africa will become an external affair—another continent’s central command post will have to step in and help Africa assemble a continental infrastructure and culture. Meanwhile, the oceanic continental nations face their own challenges. They are harder to articulate because they’re isolated by distance—they’re not all landlocked together but are kind of like islands, albeit very reliant on each other. Australia, for instance, has the opportunity to become the central decision point for the oceanic continents, but they currently have a very weak culture and lack a central infrastructure. Their uprising is only an attempt, and that will only manifest during mass stress to determine what is born from all that friction—or whether it simply dissolves into more fractions.

The Golden Age requires:

Now, this is just a brief summary of how I see the current geopolitical landscape unfolding in real time. It is actually accelerating faster than I was expecting. I was expecting this to kind of transpire in August of this year, but it's accelerating—I would say about 7 months ahead of schedule (6 to 7 months ahead of schedule), so we're accelerating faster than I was expecting. I've written a very long, articulate book on this, and 'cuz I wrote that book years ago (I finished the very last pieces of it last year, but I started writing it in 2017), the point being is that the aspects of our path toward the Golden Age is a path of short-term restructuring. It may not seem like a short-term path, because 10 years is not short from any perspective, but when you think of how identities and cultures are formed—manifesting for hundreds or even thousands of years—10 years in that timeline is such a small scope of the overall timeline of Earth and the civilization that resides within it. It's a very small short-term pain for such a long-term gain, and the long-term gain is that you have Continental government structures that establish a more unified Continental supply chain, reevaluating and redesigning supply chains that are not relying on other Continental supply chains but are redesigning their own Continental infrastructure.

But it doesn't seem that way because it's kind of like this delusion of illusions—it’s China, it’s the United States—and in reality, it has nothing to do with any of these things; these are just placeholders. The real reality is that we don't have Continental fortitude within each continent, and what this opportunity allows us to have is Continental fortitude and resiliency. Ultimately, the players in the game are Trump and all the other existing leaders around the world who are participating in this play—the game of a tactician's playbook on how to redesign the global order without firing a shot, but by enabling the opportunity to redesign everything from everything.